Pump.fun coin survival
· · From pump data's daily tables, one UTC day each, read from the chain's own ledger
How many pump.fun coins die?
Most of them, within hours. Of the 51,283 coins launched on October 19, 2026, 91.5% had no trade at all in their second hour; over the 7 days to then, 90.6%. And 1.99% graduated. Of coins whose market cap first reached $15K to $28K that day, 34.7% went on to double within three hours, 10.7% to 5x and 5.2% to 10x.
The last 7 days
| Day (UTC) | Launched | Dead by hour two | Graduated | Reached $15K to $28K: then 2x / 5x / 10x |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, Oct 19 | 51,283 | 91.5% | 1.99% | 2,111: 34.7% / 10.7% / 5.2% |
| Sun, Oct 18 | 41,217 | 91.8% | 2.33% | 1,827: 33.9% / 10.9% / 4.7% |
| Sat, Oct 17 | 44,818 | 91.0% | 2.25% | 1,816: 34.2% / 10.3% / 4.5% |
| Fri, Oct 16 | 50,242 | 91.7% | 2.07% | 2,059: 34.3% / 11.2% / 5.1% |
| Thu, Oct 15 | 46,540 | 89.4% | 2.29% | 1,320: 33.4% / 10.1% / 4.5% |
| Wed, Oct 14 | 41,709 | 88.7% | 2.67% | – |
| Tue, Oct 13 | 43,456 | 89.6% | 2.72% | – |
Dead by hour two: no trade at all from 60 to 120 minutes after the create. The band columns: coins whose market cap first reached $15K to $28K that day, and the share that peaked at 2x, 5x and 10x of it within three hours.
For one coin or one dev rather than the whole market: GET /launch/{mint} and GET /deployer/{address} answer from every pump.fun trade, ever, $0.005 a call or five calls an hour free with a key. The pump.fun API.
Questions
What counts as a dead pump.fun coin here?
A launch with no trade at all from its 60th to its 120th minute. It is a strict test: a coin that trades once in that hour is not counted, so the share understates how many are effectively over.
What are the odds a pump.fun coin doubles?
It depends on where you start. Of coins that first reached a $15K to $28K market cap on October 19, 2026, 34.7% doubled within three hours. The base rate for any band and window is GET /baserate, and yesterday's for every band is free at /public/baserate.json.
Do the numbers include coins that died?
Yes. They come from every pump.fun trade, ever, and a dead coin counts in every share on this page; history with only the survivors flatters every strategy.
Source: the daily tables, Mon, Oct 19, Sun, Oct 18, Sat, Oct 17, Fri, Oct 16, Thu, Oct 15, Wed, Oct 14, Tue, Oct 13 (each also as /stats/{day}.json). Not affiliated with pump.fun.